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All NASA Contracts — February 04, 2026

All NASA Contracts

3 total filings analysed

Executive Summary

NASA's three major contracts totaling $869M signal stable, long-term funding for space R&D missions, with Caltech securing 56% ($489M) across two Mars projects through 2028-09-30. Southwest Research Institute holds a $377M obligation for the nearing-end MMS mission (2026-09-30), with only 21% outlayed to date. All cost-plus-fixed-fee awards to nonprofits underscore low-competition, mission-critical commitments but highlight concentration risk in Caltech/JPL ecosystem.

Tracking the trend? Catch up on the prior All NASA Contracts digest from February 01, 2026.

Investment Signals(2)

  • Caltech Mars Mission Continuity(HIGH)

    Two non-competed delivery orders totaling $482M obligation ($632M with options) for Mars Science Lab and Reconnaissance Orbiter through 2028, with 77-82% outlayed, indicate sustained NASA priority.

  • MMS Mission Slow Execution(MEDIUM)

    SwRI's 22-year $377M MMS contract has only $80M (21%) outlayed despite 2004 award, nearing 2026 end.

Risk Flags(2)

  • Execution[MEDIUM RISK]

    Long performance periods (10-22 years) expose to mission delays, funding cuts; low MMS outlay (21%) signals potential de-obligation.

  • Competitive[LOW RISK]

    Non-competed awards to Caltech (two contracts) and full/open but aging SwRI contract limit visibility into alternatives.

Opportunities(2)

  • $135M unexercised options across contracts (SwRI $15M, Caltech $88M + $63M) could boost total value to $1.02B.

  • Caltech's dominance in Mars R&D (Phase E, Science Lab) positions for follow-ons as 2028 end nears.

Sector Themes(2)

  • All awards to nonprofits (Caltech x2, SwRI) via cost-plus-fixed-fee for Mars/magnetospheric R&D, bypassing small biz set-asides.

  • 56% value to Caltech/JPL Mars missions vs. single MMS award highlights planetary science priority over magnetospheric.

Watch List(2)

  • 👁

    {"entity"=>"California Institute of Technology", "reason"=>"56% value concentration with $87M options and 2028 end-date approaching.", "trigger"=>"Option exercises or Phase F follow-ons >$100M"}

  • 👁

    {"entity"=>"Southwest Research Institute", "reason"=>"MMS nearing 2026 close with low 21% outlay and $15M options.", "trigger"=>"Funding de-obligation or new PI-led mission award"}

Get daily alerts with 2 investment signals, 2 risk alerts, 2 opportunities and full AI analysis of all 3 filings

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