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All NASA Contracts — October 03, 2026

All NASA Contracts

By Gunpowder Editorial ·

1 total filings analysed

Executive Summary

This digest covers a single NASA contract award to The Boeing Company valued at $254.3 million obligated, with a total potential value of $363.6 million including options, under NASA's Commercial Crew Program. The contract is entirely civilian, with no defense-related obligations, and spans from December 2015 to May 2027, reflecting long-term program stability.

The highest-conviction signal is neutral, given the fixed-price structure and full-and-open competition, which provide revenue visibility but also execution risk. Key watch items include Boeing's ability to manage fixed-price risk and NASA's option exercise decisions for post-certification missions.

Materiality, sentiment, and priority are scored by Gunpowder’s analysis pipeline. How we score filings →

Tracking the trend? Catch up on the prior All NASA Contracts digest from September 26, 2026.

Investment Signals (1)

  • Boeing's Fixed-Price Execution Risk on $254.3M NASA Crew Transportation Contract (MEDIUM)
    ▲

    The firm-fixed-price structure of this $254.3M delivery order places cost overrun risk on Boeing, a known issue in prior fixed-price space contracts. Any delays or technical issues could pressure margins.

Risk Flags (2)

  • Execution [MEDIUM RISK]
    ▼

    Boeing's $254.3M fixed-price contract carries medium pricing risk; cost overruns on fixed-price space contracts have historically impacted earnings (e.g., Starliner program).

  • Budget [MEDIUM RISK]
    ▼

    NASA's Commercial Crew Program funding depends on annual appropriations; a continuing resolution or budget cuts could delay option exercises or reduce the total $363.6M potential value.

Opportunities (1)

  • ◆

    If NASA exercises all options, Boeing's total contract value could rise to $363.6M, providing incremental revenue through May 2027. Post-certification mission orders could further extend the program.

Sector Themes (1)

  • ◆

    This 11.5-year contract (2015-2027) demonstrates NASA's long-term commitment to crew transportation for the ISS, signaling stable funding for human spaceflight programs despite budget uncertainty.

Watch List (2)

  • 👁

    {"entity" => "The Boeing Company", "reason" => "This contract represents a material, long-duration revenue stream but carries fixed-price execution risk.", "trigger" => "NASA option exercise announcements or quarterly earnings reports highlighting cost performance"}

  • 👁

    {"entity" => "NASA Commercial Crew Program", "reason" => "Future budget appropriations and CRs could affect option exercises and total contract value.", "trigger" => "FY2027 budget passage or continuing resolution enactment"}

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