Executive Summary
The sole contract in this digest is a $147.7 million firm-fixed-price award from the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) to Deloitte Consulting LLP for TSA personnel, payroll, and benefits services, representing a 100% civilian agency obligation with no defense-related content.
The contract, which ran from March 2017 to March 2022, is now completed, making it a historical data point rather than an active revenue driver for Deloitte. The highest-conviction signal is the neutral, non-strategic nature of the work—HR operational services rather than technology or security—suggesting limited competitive moat and no immediate investment catalyst. Key risk: the contract's completion means any investment thesis must hinge on follow-on TSA or DHS HR contracts, which are not yet visible in the data. Overall, this digest offers no actionable bullish or bearish signals, but highlights the stability of DHS demand for back-office support services.
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Tracking the trend? Catch up on the prior DHS Homeland Security Contracts digest from September 13, 2026.
Investment Signals (1)
- Deloitte's $147.7M TSA HR contract completed—no active revenue stream (HIGH)▲
The $147.7 million firm-fixed-price contract for TSA personnel and payroll services ended March 10, 2022, with only $431,281 of the total obligation outlaid, indicating the contract is fully mature and no longer contributes to Deloitte's DHS revenue. Investors should not expect near-term earnings impact from this specific award.
Risk Flags (2)
- Concentration [MEDIUM RISK]▼
Deloitte's DHS revenue is exposed to the re-compete cycle for HR services contracts; the completion of this $147.7M award without a visible follow-on creates a gap in the company's civilian agency backlog. The low outlay ($431K) relative to total obligation suggests payment timing risks if any modifications were to arise.
- Competition [LOW RISK]▼
The contract was awarded through full and open competition with no set-aside, and Deloitte is not a small business, indicating a contested market. The neutral signal strength (5/10) and medium pricing risk on the firm-fixed-price structure suggest potential margin pressure if cost controls were not achieved.
Opportunities (1)
- ◆
The DHS/TSA investment in HR operational services indicates stable demand for personnel and payroll support, creating potential for Deloitte or competitors to secure follow-on contracts. The $203.5 million base plus options value demonstrates the potential scale of such engagements.
Sector Themes (1)
- ◆
The $147.7M Deloitte contract for TSA personnel and payroll services underscores the DHS's continued investment in non-technology professional support, a segment that remains resilient regardless of political shifts. The NAICS 541612 (HR Consulting) and PSC R431 classification highlight a focus on operational efficiency rather than security tech.
Watch List (2)
- 👁
{"entity" => "Deloitte Consulting LLP", "reason" => "Completed $147.7M TSA HR contract signals potential for follow-on work; the $203.5M total potential value (including options) suggests a larger engagement opportunity if re-competed.", "trigger" => "TSA or DHS issues a new solicitation for HR/payroll services; any modification or extension of the existing contract"}
- 👁
{"entity" => "TSA (Transportation Security Administration)", "reason" => "The agency's investment in HR services may indicate a broader trend of outsourcing back-office functions; future awards could signal budget priorities.", "trigger" => "New TSA procurement notices for professional support services; DHS budget documents highlighting HR modernization"}
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