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DHS Homeland Security Contracts — October 17, 2026

DHS Homeland Security Contracts

By Gunpowder Editorial ·

3 total filings analysed

Executive Summary

Three DHS awards totaling $173,150,877 in obligations were reviewed, with zero defense-related contracts; all three are civilian homeland security awards to security services and niche services contractors. The dominant theme is DHS spending on detention transport, facility protection, and CBP maintenance support, with GardaWorld Federal Services LLC ($100,467,801 obligated against a $382,324,910 base-plus-options ceiling) carrying the highest materiality.

The highest-conviction signal is the scale of unexercised option value in the GardaWorld and Triple Canopy Inc awards, which makes future option exercise the primary driver of revenue visibility. The key watch item is that GardaWorld's $0 outlayed status as of award means no revenue has yet been recognized, so execution and option exercise must be confirmed before the backlog is treated as earnings. None of the three recipients is a listed equity identified in the data, limiting direct public-market relevance.

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Tracking the trend? Catch up on the prior DHS Homeland Security Contracts digest from October 10, 2026.

Investment Signals (4)

  • GardaWorld Federal Services LLC: $100.5M DHS/ICE detention transport award with up to $382.3M potential value (MEDIUM)
    ▲

    GardaWorld holds a firm-fixed-price ICE award for 24/7 armed ground transportation under the 287(g) program in Texas, with $100,467,801 obligated against a $382,324,910 ceiling and performance starting 2026-09-01. Total outlayed is currently $0, so the value depends on option exercise through 2030-08-31.

  • GardaWorld Federal Services LLC: only ~26% of ceiling obligated, with firm-fixed-price cost-overrun exposure (MEDIUM)
    ▲

    Only about 26% of the $382,324,910 base-plus-options value is currently obligated, and the firm-fixed-price structure shifts execution and cost-overrun risk to the contractor. Pricing risk is rated high in the source analysis.

  • Triple Canopy Inc: $47.6M DHS FPS protective security award, roughly half of ceiling obligated (MEDIUM)
    ▲

    Triple Canopy Inc received a firm-fixed-price FPS delivery order for protective security officers in Silver Spring, MD, with $47,581,167 obligated of a $96,403,028 base-plus-options value and $39,810,825 outlayed to date (about 84% of obligation). Contract runs 2025-03-01 to 2028-02-29.

  • Red River Science & Technology, LLC: $25.1M CBP OPSTAR support near end of period with ~73% outlayed (LOW)
    ▲

    Red River holds a $25,101,908 SDVOSB set-aside firm-fixed-price CBP delivery order with $18,217,217 (about 73%) outlayed and an identical current and potential end date of 2026-11-14, leaving no disclosed option periods. Recipient is a private LLC, so the award has limited listed-equity relevance.

Risk Flags (3)

  • Execution [HIGH RISK]
    ▼

    GardaWorld's award shows $0 outlayed at the time of the record, meaning revenue recognition depends on performance beginning 2026-09-01 and on option exercise; firm-fixed-price pricing on armed transport concentrates overrun risk.

  • Budget [MEDIUM RISK]
    ▼

    Large unobligated portions of the GardaWorld and Triple Canopy ceilings depend on annual DHS appropriations; contracts awarded in fiscal Q4 are exposed to continuing-resolution timing.

  • Concentration [MEDIUM RISK]
    ▼

    Revenue visibility for the largest award is concentrated in one unexercised option structure, with roughly $282M of GardaWorld's ceiling not yet obligated.

Opportunities (2)

  • ◆

    Option exercise on GardaWorld's ICE transport award could add up to roughly $282M in obligations through 2030-08-31 if the full ceiling is realized.

  • ◆

    Triple Canopy Inc could see up to about $48.8M in additional obligations if options toward the $96,403,028 ceiling are exercised through 2028-02-29.

Sector Themes (1)

  • ◆

    All three awards are DHS civilian contracts for guard, transport, and maintenance services, with zero defense-related awards in the period. Labor-intensive security services dominate, as reflected in NAICS 561612 and PSC S206 coding.

Watch List (3)

  • 👁

    {"entity" => "GardaWorld Federal Services LLC", "reason" => "Largest award in the set at $100,467,801 obligated against a $382,324,910 ceiling, with $0 outlayed at award.", "trigger" => "First outlays after 2026-09-01 start and option exercise ahead of 2027-08-31"}

  • 👁

    {"entity" => "Triple Canopy Inc", "reason" => "$47,581,167 obligated of $96,403,028 with $39,810,825 outlayed to date, indicating an active execution profile.", "trigger" => "Option exercise and outlay progression before 2028-02-29"}

  • 👁

    {"entity" => "Red River Science & Technology, LLC", "reason" => "$25,101,908 award with ~73% outlayed and no disclosed options beyond 2026-11-14.", "trigger" => "Non-exercise or re-compete decision at 2026-11-14 end date"}

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