Executive Summary
The 21 contracts in this period (October 21, 2026) aggregate $1,157,755,343 in total obligation, with only 1 of 21 records defense-related, so the stream is overwhelmingly civilian: VA, SSA, GSA, DOL, NASA, DHS, DOJ and State.
The dominant themes are federal IT and application support (IT Concepts at SSA totaling $146.8M across two awards, Booz Allen at USPTO, Strategic Operational Solutions, CACI NSS at VA IFAMS) and VA capital and equipment investment (Innovation Associates' CMOP automation at $47.4M, Floyd Construction's $24.4M endoscopy suite). The highest-materiality award is Cherokee Nation Management & Consulting's $287.0M State Department delivery order, but it is a 2021 award with 99.6% already outlayed and no public parent, so it is not an investable signal. The most actionable signal is that most headline values are contingent on option exercises (e.g., Swish Data's $86.8M obligation against a $770.7M base-plus-options value), so realized revenue lags headline figures. The key watch item is the cluster of current end dates in 2025-2026 (IT Concepts SSA, Human Learning Systems, DOL/Minot) that will require option exercise or recompetition; all 21 signals are rated neutral given the mixed data.
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Investment Signals (9)
- IT Concepts SSA awards concentrate $146.8M in near-term option exposure (MEDIUM)▲
IT Concepts, Inc. holds two SSA call orders totaling $107,772,236 (non-systems technical support) and $39,071,817 (cybersecurity), with current end dates of 2025-04-15 and potential ends of 2028-03-28. Realized revenue beyond current obligations depends on option exercise and a $39.4M unobligated cybersecurity ceiling.
- Swish Data VA Red Hat renewal carries up to $770.7M potential value (MEDIUM)▲
Swish Data Corporation's VA delivery order has a current obligation of $86,780,922 against a base-plus-options value of $770,695,258 running to 2030-09-28, indicating recurring enterprise Linux support demand if options are exercised. The recipient appears privately held, so exposure is indirect.
- Innovation Associates VA CMOP automation award of $47.35M tied to Walgreens Boots Alliance (LOW)▲
Innovation Associates (parent Walgreens Boots Alliance) received a $47,350,938 firm-fixed-price VA contract for pharmaceutical packing automation running to 2027-07-16, with $16.3M across 8 subawards. Materiality to Walgreens is likely modest given its revenue scale, which the data does not provide.
- Floyd Construction VA endoscopy suite carries high pricing risk with zero outlays (MEDIUM)▲
Floyd Construction Corp's $24,402,210 firm-fixed-price VA endoscopy suite project has $0 outlayed and identical current and potential end dates of 2027-04-23, leaving no extension mechanism disclosed. Fixed-price construction exposes the contractor to cost overruns, and the recipient's public status is not established.
- Booz Allen Hamilton USPTO delivery order at $32.8M with 60% subaward flowdown (MEDIUM)▲
Booz Allen Hamilton received a $32,800,060 USPTO delivery order with $19,673,771 across five subawards (about 60%), limiting retained revenue; options add only about $400,000, and no outlays are reported yet. Confirmation of outlays and option exercise by 2027-10-31 would validate the award.
- Tecolote Research GSA order shows $0 outlays against $47.4M obligation (MEDIUM)▲
Tecolote Research, Inc.'s GSA delivery order carries a $47,435,910 obligation with $0 outlayed, and about 33% ($15.8M) flows to 16 subawards, so realized prime revenue is not yet visible. Only 28% of the $166.4M base-plus-options value is obligated.
- CACI NSS VA IFAMS order at $46.4M with $0 outlays and options to $150M (MEDIUM)▲
CACI NSS, LLC received a $46,375,615 VA firm-fixed-price order for the Integrated Financial and Acquisition Management System, with a $149,976,314 base-plus-options ceiling to 2030-09-15. Nine subawards totaling $54.0M exceed the prime obligation, so pass-through economics warrant review.
- Cherokee Nation $287.0M State Department order is near-fully disbursed and expired (HIGH)▲
Cherokee Nation Management & Consulting's $287,001,614 non-competed cost-plus delivery order for Afghan refugee support had $285,990,139 (99.6%) outlayed and ended 2023-02-18, so it provides no forward revenue visibility. Its relevance is historical rather than forward-looking.
- Lack of defense exposure: only 1 of 21 awards is defense-related (HIGH)▲
With only one defense-related record among 21 awards, this stream offers limited direct exposure to NDAA-aligned defense demand; the investment read-through for defense primes from this period is minimal, and civilian agency demand dominates.
Risk Flags (5)
- Execution [MEDIUM RISK]▼
Multiple large awards show $0 outlays at the data snapshot (Floyd Construction, Tecolote Research, Innovation Associates, CACI NSS, Booz Allen, Strategic Operational Solutions, Ross Group), meaning realized revenue cannot yet be validated.
- Budget [HIGH RISK]▼
Several awards depend on option exercise for most of their value: Swish Data ($86.8M of $770.7M), Strategic Operational Solutions ($25.6M of $130.9M), Tecolote ($47.4M of $166.4M), CACI NSS ($46.4M of $150.0M).
- Concentration [MEDIUM RISK]▼
IT Concepts holds $146.8M across two SSA awards, and Human Learning Systems and Ross Group carry end-dated or subaward-heavy profiles, creating single-recipient concentration in SSA IT services.
- Execution [MEDIUM RISK]▼
Human Learning Systems' Quentin Burdick JCC contract ends 2026-11-30 with about $4.75M remaining and a small business set-aside, requiring recompetition or extension before expiry.
- Regulatory [LOW RISK]▼
Cherokee Nation's non-competed State Department award has no disclosed justification in the data, raising sole-source scrutiny on prior non-competed civilian humanitarian awards.
Opportunities (4)
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Swish Data Corporation's VA Red Hat renewal could expand from $86.8M obligated toward $770.7M if option periods through 2030-09-28 are exercised.
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VA capital and automation demand is visible across Innovation Associates ($47.4M CMOP automation), Floyd Construction ($24.4M endoscopy suite) and CACI NSS ($46.4M IFAMS), indicating continued VA investment.
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Service-disabled veteran-owned small business set-asides appear in Swish Data ($86.8M VA), Strategic Operational Solutions ($25.6M GSA) and Floyd Construction ($24.4M VA), reflecting policy-driven awards.
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Johns Hopkins APL's non-competed NASA Marshall cost-plus delivery order ($27.9M, potential $42.8M) indicates sole-source durability for a nonprofit research partner.
Sector Themes (3)
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Federal IT and application-support awards dominate the value stream, led by IT Concepts ($146.8M at SSA), Booz Allen Hamilton ($32.8M at USPTO), CACI NSS ($46.4M at VA) and Strategic Operational Solutions ($25.6M at GSA).
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VA-directed spending spans pharmacy automation, healthcare construction and financial systems, including Innovation Associates ($47.4M), Floyd Construction ($24.4M) and Swish Data's Linux renewal (up to $770.7M).
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Several primes route large shares of work to subcontractors, including Booz Allen (~60%), Innovation Associates (~34%), Ross Group (~46%) and CACI NSS (subawards exceed prime obligation), limiting retained revenue.
Watch List (5)
- 👁
{"entity" => "IT Concepts, Inc.", "reason" => "Holds $146.8M across two SSA call orders with current ends of 2025-04-15 and potential ends in 2028; large near-term option exposure.", "trigger" => "Option exercise or extension before 2025-04-15"}
- 👁
{"entity" => "Swish Data Corporation", "reason" => "$86.8M current obligation against $770.7M base-plus-options through 2030, dependent on VA option exercises.", "trigger" => "VA option exercises through 2027-09-28"}
- 👁
{"entity" => "Human Learning Systems LLC", "reason" => "Quentin Burdick JCC operation ends 2026-11-30 with about $4.75M remaining and a small business set-aside.", "trigger" => "Recompetition or extension notice before 2026-11-30"}
- 👁
{"entity" => "Floyd Construction Corp", "reason" => "$24.4M fixed-price VA project with $0 outlays and no disclosed extension mechanism.", "trigger" => "Monthly outlay reporting and any schedule modification"}
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{"entity" => "Walgreens Boots Alliance (via Innovation Associates)", "reason" => "$47.35M VA CMOP automation award with $0 outlays and $16.3M in subawards.", "trigger" => "Outlay activity and installation milestones through 2027-07-16"}
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