India Monetary Policy RBI MPC Decisions — March 16, 2026
RBI filings reveal persistent net liquidity deficits averaging ₹2.1L Cr across March 13-15, 2026, with scheduled commercial banks' cash balances consistently below CRR requirements by ₹20-21k Cr (2.65% shortfall on Mar15), signaling tightening conditions QoQ from a net durable surplus of ₹5.6L Cr as of Feb15. Money market volumes plummeted to zero across all overnight and term segments on Mar14-15 from a high ₹6.78L Cr overnight on Mar13, with weighted average call rate (WACR) stable at 5.03% (range 3-5.6%). RBI actively managed via net daily absorptions of ₹3.1-3.4L Cr through high SDF utilization (₹3.13L Cr at 5.00% on Mar15) and minor MSF (₹397 Cr at 5.50%), alongside outstanding repo ops maturing Apr30. An upcoming 7-day VRR repo auction of ₹1.5L Cr on Mar17 (reversal Mar24) indicates proactive injection response. Sentiments range neutral to negative (Filing 4 at 9/10 materiality), with no insider activity, capital allocation, or M&A noted. Market implications include upward pressure on short-term rates benefiting bank NIMs but straining NBFCs/borrowers; zero volumes highlight illiquidity risks.