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New Federal Contractors — October 15, 2026

New Federal Contractors

By Gunpowder Editorial ·

30 total filings analysed

Executive Summary

The 30 new federal contract awards in this period total $1,241,270,086 in obligations, with zero defense-related awards; the entire set is civilian, dominated by NASA (including JPL-managed Caltech work), VA, DOJ/FBI, DOT, and HHS/CMS.

The largest single award is Caltech's $112,298,234 NASA SKYFALL delivery order, but Caltech is a nonprofit with no public equity, so it carries no direct investment implication. The most investable signals are modest: Peraton's $19,899,764 FBI BPA call (Veritas-owned, so public exposure is unclear), SAIC's $76,606,535 FHWA task order (a large-business award with 55% subcontracted), and Blue Origin's $99,569,229 NASA launch delivery order against a $5B ceiling, which is only about 2% obligated. Most recipients are private, small-business, or nonprofit entities, and average signal strength is low (3.0/10). The key watch item is the low outlay pace across several large awards, including Blue Origin ($18.5M of $99.6M), Impulse Space ($239K of $37.4M), and Arrow Science ($59K of $36.0M), which makes near-term revenue recognition uncertain.

Materiality, sentiment, and priority are scored by Gunpowder’s analysis pipeline. How we score filings →

Tracking the trend? Catch up on the prior New Federal Contractors digest from October 14, 2026.

Investment Signals (6)

  • Blue Origin NASA Launch Services Delivery Order: $99,569,229 Against $5B Ceiling (MEDIUM)
    ▲

    Blue Origin's firm-fixed-price delivery order under NASA's VADR vehicle runs through 2032-01-27, with $18,475,002 (about 19%) outlayed. Only about 2% of the $5B ceiling is obligated, so incremental orders could be significant but are not yet committed.

  • SAIC FHWA IT Infrastructure Task Order: $76,606,535 (MEDIUM)
    ▲

    SAIC received a time-and-materials FHWA IT infrastructure order with $64,439,373 outlayed and a $116.6M base-plus-options value through 2027-06-30. Subawards of $41,782,968 (about 55%) limit SAIC's retained economics.

  • Impulse Space and Arrow Science: Minimal Outlays Against Large Ceilings (HIGH)
    ▲

    Impulse Space's $37,374,116 NASA order has only $239,116 outlayed (0.6%), and Arrow Science's $35,992,906 order has $59,040 outlayed against a $5B ceiling. Revenue recognition from these awards is far off and depends on future option or order exercises.

  • ECS Federal EPA MDSS Award Appears Aged: $68,610,159 With 0.9% Outlayed (MEDIUM)
    ▲

    The 2012-dated EPA managed desktop award shows only $635,018 outlayed, and its end dates (2016-2017) have passed, so the status is unverified and likely not a current ASGN revenue driver. The ASGN parent-level contribution cannot be assessed from the data.

  • Peraton FBI IT Security BPA Call: $19,899,764 Under $166.7M Vehicle (LOW)
    ▲

    Peraton, a Veritas Capital subsidiary, won a labor-hours FBI security assessment call under a competed SAP, with $0 outlayed and a potential end of 2032-03-29. Peraton's public status is not established, so direct equity exposure is unclear.

  • Stonex Financial U.S. Mint Silver Order: $32,756,349 With $0 Outlayed and 8-Day Window (MEDIUM)
    ▲

    A foreign-owned Stonex Financial received a $32,756,349 U.S. Mint silver raw material order ending 2026-10-21 with no outlays reported. Whether delivery and payment occur within the window is the key uncertainty.

Risk Flags (3)

  • Execution [MEDIUM RISK]
    ▼

    Several large awards show very low outlay pace relative to obligations and performance windows, including Blue Origin (19% outlaid), Impulse Space (0.6%), Arrow Science (0.2%), and Stonex (0%). Slow outlays may signal delayed performance or revenue recognition.

  • Budget [MEDIUM RISK]
    ▼

    Several awards are funded incrementally or carry large unexercised ceilings, including SAIC FHWA (funded through 10/31/2024 tranche), Peraton HHS ($58.9M of $100.7M), and FEDTEC SSA ($22.0M of $117.3M). Option exercise depends on future appropriations and continuing resolution timing.

  • Concentration [LOW RISK]
    ▼

    Heavy subcontracting limits prime retained value: Peraton HHS subawards total about 80% of obligation ($47.2M), SAIC FHWA about 55% ($41.8M), and Billy W. Jarrett VA about 68% ($15.0M).

Opportunities (3)

  • ◆

    Blue Origin and Arrow Science have $5B-ceiling NASA KSC umbrella task orders, where incremental delivery orders could materially expand obligations. Impulse Space has a $300M ceiling in the same vehicle family.

  • ◆

    Multiple VA construction and infrastructure awards (Billy W. Jarrett $22.1M CBOC, IRONCLAD $22.4M mental health renovation, MDM Construction $13.8M EHRM upgrades) indicate continued VA facilities investment, though the awards are to private small firms.

  • ◆

    Several small-business and 8(a) awards (PCI Aviation $19.7M sole-source 8(a) USMC maintenance, Index Analytics $13.6M HHS 8(a), Burchick $21.2M GSA courthouse) show policy-protected revenue streams, though these recipients appear private.

Sector Themes (3)

  • ◆

    NASA-related awards total roughly $0.5B in this set (Caltech alone accounts for several large JPL-managed cost-plus awards, plus Blue Origin, Impulse Space, and Arrow Science launch orders). Most recipients are nonprofits or private firms, so investable exposure is indirect.

  • ◆

    IT modernization awards from FHWA, FBI, CMS, FAA, and FAS (SAIC, Peraton, General Dynamics IT, Deloitte, FEDTEC) indicate sustained civilian IT demand, with heavy subcontracting common.

  • ◆

    A large share of awards are small-business, SDVOSB, or 8(a) set-asides (IRONCLAD, MDM Construction, Billy W. Jarrett, Burchick, PCI Aviation, XPECT, BRIDGEPHASE), reflecting policy-protected pools rather than open competition.

Watch List (5)

  • 👁

    {"entity" => "Blue Origin, LLC (private) / space launch sector", "reason" => "$99.6M obligated against a $5B NASA KSC ceiling with only $18.5M outlaid; incremental orders could be significant.", "trigger" => "Incremental obligations or option exercises under the VADR umbrella before 2032-01-27"}

  • 👁

    {"entity" => "Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC)", "reason" => "$76.6M FHWA order with 55% subcontracted and funding tranche-based through 10/31/2024.", "trigger" => "Subsequent funding modifications and option exercise before 2027-06-30 end date"}

  • 👁

    {"entity" => "Peraton Inc. / Veritas Capital", "reason" => "Two large awards in this set (HHS $59.0M, FBI BPA call $19.9M) with 80% subcontracting on the HHS order.", "trigger" => "HHS option exercises before 2027-10-31 and FBI call order outlay progression"}

  • 👁

    {"entity" => "STONEX FINANCIAL LTD", "reason" => "$32.8M U.S. Mint silver order with $0 outlaid and an 8-day performance window ending 2026-10-21.", "trigger" => "Delivery acceptance and first outlay recorded before 2026-10-21"}

  • 👁

    {"entity" => "General Dynamics Information Technology (GD Corp parent)", "reason" => "$22.3M FAA FMDS hardware order running 2026-09-23 to 2027-09-22 with $0 outlaid and a truncated scope description.", "trigger" => "Outlay progression and any follow-on FMDS/TFMS replacement award"}

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