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Significant Contract Modifications ($10M+) — October 15, 2026

Significant Contract Modifications ($10M+)

By Gunpowder Editorial ·

50 total filings analysed

Executive Summary

The 50 contracts in this stream carry a combined obligation of $1,485,707,425 but none are defense-related; the entire set is civilian, drawn from NASA, VA, DOJ/FBI, DOT, HHS/CMS, GSA, DHS, EPA, Treasury, USDA and Labor.

Awards are dominated by NASA space-science and launch-services task orders (Caltech/JPL, Blue Origin, Impulse Space, Arrow Science) and VA construction and facilities work to service-disabled veteran-owned small businesses. The average signal strength is 2.9/10 and every record is classified neutral, so the set offers no high-conviction directional call. The highest-materiality items are the Blue Origin $99.6M VADR launch order (with a $5.0B ceiling mostly unfunded), the Caltech/JPL $112.3M SKYFALL order, and the Veterans Evaluation Services $93.2M VA order, though the latter is a completed one-year award. The main watch item is that most headline ceilings are far above current obligations, so realized revenue remains contingent on option exercise and incremental funding.

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Tracking the trend? Catch up on the prior Significant Contract Modifications ($10M+) digest from October 14, 2026.

Investment Signals (7)

  • Blue Origin $99.6M NASA launch-services order under $5.0B ceiling (MEDIUM)
    ▲

    Blue Origin received a firm-fixed-price NASA Kennedy VADR delivery order with $99,569,229 obligated against a $5.0B base-plus-options value, running through 2032-01-27, with $18.5M outlayed. Incremental obligations against the ceiling would be the key revenue catalyst, though only about 2% is currently funded.

  • Impulse Space $37.4M NASA umbrella task order with $300M ceiling (MEDIUM)
    ▲

    Impulse Space, Inc. received a NASA Kennedy umbrella task order with $37,374,116 obligated against a $300,000,000 base-plus-options ceiling, running through 2032-01-27, though only $239,116 has been outlayed.

  • Peraton Inc. holds multiple federal awards with Veritas Capital backing (MEDIUM)
    ▲

    Peraton received a $19.9M FBI BPA call order (ceiling $166.7M) and a $58.99M CMS delivery order (ceiling $100.7M), but $47.2M of the CMS work is subawarded, limiting retained economics. Concentration across DOJ and HHS suggests a durable federal IT franchise, with parent Veritas Capital.

  • SAIC $76.6M FHWA IT infrastructure task order (MEDIUM)
    ▲

    SAIC received a $76,606,535 FHWA task order with a $116.6M ceiling, but 13 subcontracts worth $41.8M (about 55%) pass through, reducing retained revenue; funding is incremental through 10/31/2024.

  • PCI Aviation $19.7M sole-source 8(a) award nearly fully committed (MEDIUM)
    ▲

    PCI Aviation LLC's GSA USMC KC-130 maintenance award is 8(a) sole-source with $19,732,548 obligated against a $20,301,379 ceiling (about 2.8% unobligated), so future growth depends on a new award rather than option exercise, and the 8(a) program term limits renewal assurance.

  • Stonex Financial $32.8M U.S. Mint silver order with zero outlays and 8-day window (LOW)
    ▲

    STONEX FINANCIAL LTD, a foreign-owned firm, received a $32,756,349 U.S. Mint silver raw material delivery order with a 2026-10-21 end date and $0 outlayed, so execution and delivery before the window closes are unverified.

  • Legacy EPA ECS Federal award appears aged with only 0.9% outlayed (LOW)
    ▲

    ECS Federal (ASGN) holds a 2012 EPA managed desktop order with $68.6M obligated but only $635,018 outlayed and end dates in 2016-2017, so current status is unclear and its revenue contribution to ASGN cannot be confirmed.

Risk Flags (4)

  • Execution [MEDIUM RISK]
    ▼

    Several large awards show $0 outlays despite award dates in prior years or near-term start dates, including Ironclad, Burchick-related and Veteran Information Technologies, Stonex and NOVA Space; outlay progression is unverified.

  • Concentration [MEDIUM RISK]
    ▼

    Subaward pass-through is high across several primes: Peraton CMS (about 80%), SAIC FHWA (about 55%), Caltech-style awards and Burchick (about 17%), limiting prime retained revenue.

  • Budget [MEDIUM RISK]
    ▼

    Several awards are near-term or limited-duration with uncertain follow-on, including Research Triangle Institute (one-year $21.6M CMS order), Amentum FILMSS 2 (ends 2026-11-30) and CBE Group bridge contract (ends 2026-08-17).

  • Competition [LOW RISK]
    ▼

    Most awards are full-and-open competition with no set-aside, meaning small-business designations did not drive eligibility, such as Peraton, Dell Federal, GD IT and Ecko JV set-aside treatment varies.

Opportunities (3)

  • ◆

    Blue Origin and Impulse Space hold large NASA Kennedy launch-services vehicles with ceilings of $5.0B and $300M, respectively, offering substantial incremental order potential as funding is released.

  • ◆

    Multiple VA construction and IT awards are set aside for SDVOSBs (MDM Construction, Blue Cord, Ecko JV, Cykor, Veteran Information Technologies), indicating protected follow-on pipelines for veteran-owned firms.

  • ◆

    Caltech/JPL holds several sole-source cost-plus NASA delivery orders (SKYFALL $112.3M, Rosalind Franklin $95.1M, JUICE RIME $22.3M) that are likely to be extended or renewed.

Sector Themes (3)

  • ◆

    NASA contracts dominate the stream by count and value, spanning JPL-managed Mars and Europa missions (SKYFALL $112.3M, Rosalind Franklin $95.1M, JUICE RIME $22.3M) and Kennedy launch-services vehicles (Blue Origin, Impulse Space, Arrow Science).

  • ◆

    A large cluster of VA construction, renovation and infrastructure awards go to service-disabled veteran-owned small businesses, including MDM Construction ($13.8M), Blue Cord ($13.0M), Ecko JV ($12.0M), Ironclad ($22.4M) and Billy W. Jarrett ($22.1M).

  • ◆

    IT and managed-services awards across FHWA, DHS, GSA, EPA and SSA (SAIC $76.6M, Peraton $58.99M and $19.9M, General Dynamics IT $22.3M, FedTec $22.0M, IBM $12.5M) show continued civilian modernization demand, but with heavy subawarding.

Watch List (6)

  • 👁

    {"entity" => "Blue Origin LLC", "reason" => "$99.6M obligated against a $5.0B ceiling; incremental funding is the main revenue catalyst.", "trigger" => "Incremental obligation or option exercise on NASA Kennedy VADR order; end date 2032-01-27"}

  • 👁

    {"entity" => "Peraton Inc.", "reason" => "Multiple federal awards totaling about $79M across FBI and CMS with heavy subawarding and a $166.7M FBI ceiling.", "trigger" => "FBI BPA call order option exercise; CMS option decision ahead of 2027-10-31"}

  • 👁

    {"entity" => "Science Applications International Corporation", "reason" => "$76.6M FHWA order only partly funded through 10/31/2024 with 55% subawarded.", "trigger" => "Incremental funding modifications and option exercise ahead of 2027-06-30"}

  • 👁

    {"entity" => "Stonex Financial Ltd", "reason" => "$32.8M U.S. Mint order with $0 outlayed and an 8-day performance window ending 2026-10-21.", "trigger" => "Delivery and acceptance confirmation or outlay recognition before 2026-10-21"}

  • 👁

    {"entity" => "Amentum Services Inc", "reason" => "NASA Ames FILMSS 2 order ends 2026-11-30 with 80% outlayed, leaving a follow-on question.", "trigger" => "Recompete or follow-on task order announcement before 2026-11-30"}

  • 👁

    {"entity" => "The CBE Group Inc", "reason" => "Treasury PCA bridge contract ends 2026-08-17 with 94.6% outlayed.", "trigger" => "Successor solicitation for Bureau of the Fiscal Service PCA services"}

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