Contract Deobligations Alert — April 16, 2026
These 12 civilian contracts represent $2,556,508,585 in total obligations with 0 defense-related awards, concentrated in agencies like Department of State ($1.07B across CGI Federal $620M and AAR $449M), HHS ($434M via Agiliti Health $327M and DLH $107M), and NASA ($327M from Amentum $227M and Axiom Space $100M). Dominant themes include IT/facilities management, medical equipment maintenance, and aviation/space support, with 7 bullish signals on strong outlay execution (e.g., 84-100% funded on top awards). Highest-conviction bullish signal is AAR Government Services' $449M State aviation maintenance contract with $290M outlayed and low pricing risk through 2024. Key watch item: Multiple high-materiality contracts (CGI Federal, AAR, Agiliti) face recompete risks post-2024 maturities amid firm fixed price execution pressures.