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NASA & Space Contracts Intelligence — October 17, 2026

NASA & Space Contracts Intelligence

By Gunpowder Editorial ·

1 total filings analysed

Executive Summary

This digest covers a single NASA & Space contract record totaling $17,137,851 in obligations, with zero defense-related awards and a civilian-only split of 100%. The dominant theme is sustained NASA applied-research funding flowing through the JPL management office to California Institute of Technology, a nonprofit higher-education recipient with no identified publicly traded parent.

The highest-conviction read is durability: a 10-year cost-plus-fixed-fee delivery order (2018-10-01 to 2028-09-30) with a $21,669,510 base-plus-options ceiling and $11,042,681 already outlayed (roughly 51% of the obligation). The average signal strength is 3.0/10 and materiality is 2/10, so this award carries minimal direct equity investment relevance. The key watch item is option exercise and any modification lifting the obligation toward the $21,669,510 ceiling, alongside NASA JPL budget changes that could affect outlay pacing.

Materiality, sentiment, and priority are scored by Gunpowder’s analysis pipeline. How we score filings →

Tracking the trend? Catch up on the prior NASA & Space Contracts Intelligence digest from October 16, 2026.

Investment Signals (3)

  • Caltech / NASA JPL Delivery Order: $17,137,851 Sustained Civilian R&D Funding With No Direct Public-Equity Vehicle (HIGH)
    ▲

    The $17,137,851 cost-plus-fixed-fee delivery order runs through 2028-09-30 with a $21,669,510 base-plus-options value and $11,042,681 outlayed to date. The recipient is a nonprofit, tax-exempt institution, so no investable equity was identified in the data.

  • Multi-Year Option Runway Supports Continued NASA Space Science Outlays Toward $21,669,510 Ceiling (MEDIUM)
    ▲

    With $11,042,681 outlayed against a $17,137,851 obligation, roughly $6.1M of obligated funds remain to be spent, and up to $4.5M of additional options could be exercised toward the $21,669,510 ceiling. This implies continued NASA spending through the 2028 performance end date, though the data does not confirm annual funding schedules.

  • Sole-Source Delivery Order Carries Competition Visibility Gap (LOW)
    ▲

    The award is marked NOT COMPETED under NAICS 541715 and PSC AR22 with no set-aside, and the competition signal is recorded as unknown. Sole-source status reduces protest exposure but also limits visibility into how recompete dynamics would evolve beyond 2028.

Risk Flags (2)

  • Budget [LOW RISK]
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    NASA budget trend data is absent from the record, so the ability of NASA JPL to sustain funding for this delivery order through 2028-09-30 cannot be verified against appropriations trajectory.

  • Execution [LOW RISK]
    ▼

    Only about 51% of the $17,137,851 obligation has been outlaid, and cost-plus-fixed-fee structure places cost-overrun risk on the government rather than the recipient, which dampens recipient-side performance risk but leaves outlay pacing dependent on program execution.

Opportunities (1)

  • ◆

    Continued sole-source positioning for California Institute of Technology under the JPL management office provides a durable, protest-resistant revenue stream for space science applied research through 2028.

Sector Themes (1)

  • ◆

    The sole record reflects NASA applied space science research routed through the JPL management office, with a 10-year cost-plus-fixed-fee structure and $21,669,510 base-plus-options ceiling. Evidence is limited to this single award, so the theme is directional rather than established across multiple contracts.

Watch List (1)

  • 👁

    {"entity" => "California Institute of Technology / NASA JPL", "reason" => "The $17,137,851 obligation carries a $21,669,510 ceiling with $11,042,681 outlayed, and its option structure and outlay progression determine how much of the remaining value converts into actual NASA spending.", "trigger" => "Exercise of remaining options or obligation modification increasing the $17,137,851 total toward $21,669,510, and quarterly outlay updates against the $11,042,681 baseline"}

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